Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 79617.428138 84055.308168 88494.313202 93264.483074 98242.341937 103280.553499 108762.136547
2026-01-18 72183.151899 78934.000307 85876.277736 93539.439175 101751.447446 110277.856257 119790.244569
2026-01-25 66859.409250 75184.688436 83935.549766 93799.925814 104590.115293 116014.339511 129004.200348
2026-02-01 62501.428795 71967.268702 82102.251614 93728.879257 106664.825845 120582.307630 136654.121955
2026-02-08 59457.397860 69887.546244 81235.058496 94450.517410 109369.389779 125640.136857 144676.412445
2026-02-15 56404.866714 67564.231572 79883.805058 94429.111555 111065.779963 129432.616762 151172.791462
2026-02-22 54555.316498 66465.086737 79785.837029 95705.578809 114126.163785 134681.420754 159260.655423
2026-03-01 52674.765891 65206.041646 79394.767121 96545.459454 116604.784782 139211.427220 166497.856749
2026-03-08 50460.619929 63438.528396 78308.017187 96478.840017 117950.915366 142378.955322 172126.715400
2026-03-15 48657.330319 62068.519964 77606.231865 96788.245389 119672.954901 145936.383104 178182.137248
2026-03-22 47656.359857 61605.458432 77930.880543 98272.604368 122751.288840 151065.488232 186085.160819
2026-03-29 46536.556823 60940.511356 77964.624772 99367.166022 125337.101819 155603.057941 193299.932140
2026-04-05 45235.464943 60017.145733 77661.834917 100044.675258 127430.950937 159588.167266 199920.916897
2026-04-12 43749.817204 58809.932457 76965.515150 100202.586241 128868.733092 162778.691500 205601.948976
2026-04-19 42401.706250 57724.277769 76373.498999 100447.949876 130382.115227 166043.182068 211372.436824
2026-04-26 40979.268956 56492.350481 75552.489627 100366.011545 131458.564497 168756.421834 216468.481210
2026-05-03 40035.500359 55839.171809 75427.103887 101127.489519 133561.406096 172715.864894 223095.167414
2026-05-10 38787.425483 54747.901093 74707.690019 101104.507229 134658.434957 175425.255904 228187.422345
2026-05-17 38219.342420 54524.645623 75078.786412 102453.941263 137474.512308 180264.677255 235932.225111
2026-05-24 37481.685611 54049.797510 75103.112150 103341.765784 139698.191669 184371.561045 242787.900848
2026-05-31 36372.496492 53043.860276 74406.402835 103271.340767 140681.108734 186917.771071 247699.547374
2026-06-07 35482.006770 52304.361318 74032.987369 103598.396458 142157.124799 190077.144183 253387.076011
2026-06-14 35140.738076 52297.050512 74613.895800 105167.289340 145234.914984 195271.357554 261666.833058